Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000365 0.000410 0.000459 0.000516 0.000580 0.000651 0.000735
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000286 0.000350 0.000426 0.000523 0.000645 0.000794 0.000990
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000226 0.000294 0.000381 0.000500 0.000661 0.000873 0.001174
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000194 0.000266 0.000362 0.000503 0.000704 0.000986 0.001416
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000177 0.000253 0.000361 0.000525 0.000774 0.001143 0.001740
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000155 0.000230 0.000339 0.000514 0.000791 0.001222 0.001958
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000133 0.000204 0.000311 0.000489 0.000782 0.001256 0.002107
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000123 0.000193 0.000304 0.000495 0.000821 0.001374 0.002411
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000117 0.000190 0.000308 0.000518 0.000893 0.001555 0.002854
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000106 0.000177 0.000295 0.000512 0.000911 0.001640 0.003133
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000099 0.000169 0.000289 0.000515 0.000947 0.001765 0.003508
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000091 0.000159 0.000278 0.000508 0.000962 0.001849 0.003814
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000086 0.000153 0.000274 0.000516 0.001008 0.002006 0.004309
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000080 0.000146 0.000269 0.000521 0.001049 0.002161 0.004833
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000134 0.000251 0.000497 0.001029 0.002182 0.005056
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000128 0.000246 0.000500 0.001064 0.002332 0.005613
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000127 0.000250 0.000522 0.001147 0.002599 0.006520
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000119 0.000239 0.000511 0.001151 0.002684 0.006970
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000110 0.000223 0.000486 0.001119 0.002676 0.007164
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000106 0.000220 0.000492 0.001163 0.002863 0.007949
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000106 0.000225 0.000515 0.001254 0.003189 0.009210
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000101 0.000218 0.000508 0.001266 0.003306 0.009864
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000098 0.000215 0.000512 0.001307 0.003508 0.010834